Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 4.795121 5.290030 5.817423 6.421867 7.096224 7.826287 8.677645
2025-12-28 4.032308 4.726332 5.516479 6.485340 7.645003 8.992979 10.685112
2026-01-04 3.501821 4.315387 5.293998 6.564135 8.178177 10.172815 12.843062
2026-01-11 3.075689 3.953339 5.059254 6.565989 8.582085 11.210078 14.933351
2026-01-18 2.718866 3.622900 4.808447 6.493029 8.851042 12.072684 16.873311
2026-01-25 2.425613 3.335492 4.571202 6.393517 9.048775 12.832821 18.735179
2026-02-01 2.183490 3.087829 4.354995 6.287152 9.206571 13.530111 20.563227
2026-02-08 1.979593 2.871125 4.156172 6.176078 9.331314 14.172649 22.361432
2026-02-15 1.824110 2.708482 4.017247 6.133896 9.545553 14.959223 24.463760
2026-02-22 1.731543 2.630289 3.994861 6.264140 10.036332 16.224398 27.499394
2026-03-01 1.612314 2.499492 3.877758 6.227988 10.245154 17.037211 29.840340
2026-03-08 1.478003 2.333240 3.689429 6.054691 10.200551 17.404976 31.413143
2026-03-15 1.379710 2.219554 3.580116 6.009599 10.382143 18.203693 33.921314
2026-03-22 1.326543 2.176074 3.583174 6.158196 10.922705 19.708899 37.991720
2026-03-29 1.272121 2.125830 3.570000 6.275630 11.416666 21.180130 42.197114
2026-04-05 1.206739 2.051317 3.508165 6.297648 11.730981 22.337710 45.911258
2026-04-12 1.134586 1.959258 3.407602 6.237354 11.877696 23.175778 49.051855
2026-04-19 1.064461 1.865578 3.296620 6.146474 11.952645 23.872097 51.969494
2026-04-26 0.999208 1.776048 3.186334 6.046613 11.997804 24.507646 54.831837
2026-05-03 0.938703 1.691064 3.078167 5.941120 12.019571 25.092521 57.652758
2026-05-10 0.891285 1.627386 3.005707 5.901127 12.175400 25.986201 61.348370
2026-05-17 0.867029 1.606125 3.013310 6.026135 12.700905 27.768687 67.533438
2026-05-24 0.826181 1.549864 2.947928 5.991587 12.867318 28.738811 71.765080